Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 28.085627 32.430712 37.138459 42.607076 48.773272 55.499044 63.378410
2024-12-22 19.041581 24.608167 31.238747 39.667206 50.038887 62.323860 77.909876
2024-12-29 15.378373 21.706892 29.818012 40.856365 55.348814 73.574083 98.049451
2025-01-05 13.220358 20.083938 29.428363 42.868192 61.449239 85.941567 120.315036
2025-01-12 10.733119 17.472650 27.179171 41.867215 63.146852 92.401307 135.089819
2025-01-19 8.600810 14.956558 24.610478 39.927971 63.097175 96.193134 146.214450
2025-01-26 7.966195 14.615160 25.156262 42.524127 69.701213 109.698402 171.814144
2025-02-02 7.680379 14.774878 26.453617 46.337947 78.376708 126.748752 203.624410
2025-02-09 6.864933 13.891924 25.930428 47.146457 82.388943 137.021649 225.930098
2025-02-16 6.036495 12.847769 24.986728 47.115474 84.979422 145.190224 245.428728
2025-02-23 5.267523 11.787066 23.867179 46.627809 86.706292 152.018310 263.135993
2025-03-02 4.585020 10.781970 22.712400 45.926219 87.952316 158.067220 279.854606
2025-03-09 4.029644 9.987509 21.928613 45.955375 90.717746 167.220939 302.944458
2025-03-16 3.262423 8.607468 19.840647 43.344727 88.608687 168.140457 312.681289
2025-03-23 2.991155 8.287670 19.836497 44.739219 93.924118 182.175792 345.503002
2025-03-30 2.817851 8.165675 20.223790 46.940613 100.917493 199.593379 385.177551
2025-04-06 2.410605 7.386191 19.078599 45.860535 101.478240 205.472338 404.879465
2025-04-13 1.996082 6.494943 17.544460 43.759542 99.794507 207.059990 416.906164
2025-04-20 1.939354 6.560957 18.238910 46.573355 108.256122 228.093607 465.501266
2025-04-27 1.956315 6.838813 19.472674 50.703793 119.729538 255.479683 527.205670
2025-05-04 1.792067 6.555023 19.288678 51.579005 124.428777 270.084668 565.730276
2025-05-11 1.601793 6.150806 18.742757 51.545470 127.167261 280.997088 597.796491
2025-05-18 1.412944 5.706832 18.026614 51.017591 128.763035 289.698531 626.013185